The new administration under Pedro Pablo Kuczynski has put into effect a decree to simplify the local mining formalization process in Peru by no later than the end of the year. The new rule is designed to increase and bring back more ore providers via an orderly and simple process with less confusion. The President of the Councils of Ministers Peru, Fernando Zavala, said yesterday (November 21, 2016), a new legislative decree was enacted to promote and strengthen the process of formalization of local mining activity by the 31st of December. Premier Zavala goes on to say that he reaffirms the commitment to support all miners currently in the formalization process.
According to the Economic Studies of the Scotia Bank, in September, mining production from the informal and illegal miners (currently unregistered) broke a monthly production record set back in September, 2011. The main source of Peru’s gold production comes from informal and illegal miners. Informal gold production estimated by MEM (Ministry of Energy and Mines) from January to September, 2016 was 19.1 MT (million tons) or 17% of total gold production in Peru. Interestingly this is 24% more than Latin America’s largest gold mine, Yanacocha which according to MEM estimates produced 15.4 MT in the same period.
As of February, 2016 the MEM began including in the national gold report estimates of informal and illegal gold production from various mining regions throughout Peru. Without the inclusion of this, year to date national gold production would have been 5% less.
Toll Milling | Company Advances Tumipampa gold-copper project in Peru
Below is our interview with Dale Nejmeldeen – Director, Investor Relations
Peru’s new president, Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, has said he will implement policies that favour investment in the mining sector and also plans to enhance and streamline the formalization process for a sub-sector of artisanal miners, Dynacor Gold Mines (TSX: DNG; US-OTC: DNGDF) says, and that’s good news not only for the country’s economy, but for the company, too, which just opened a brand-new processing plant near the city of Chala, 600 km south of Lima, that treats ore purchased from approved local miners.
“We’re hearing that as many as 250,000 to 300,000 local miners are still out of the formalization process,” says Dale Nejmeldeen, Dynacor’s director of investor relations. “If they were not approved by April 2012 as registered miners, legal ore processors like Dynacor were not permitted to buy ore from them.”
Nejmeldeen notes that the recently elected president, who earned bachelor’s degrees in politics and economics from Oxford University and a master’s in economics from Princeton and is also a former minister of mines, wants to try to bring at least half of the country’s unregistered informal miners in the country into the formal sector and has already made a number of announcements to that effect.
“Even if they bring half of them into the formal sector, these registered miners will be dealing with companies like Dynacor, which pays its taxes, so there’s a lot of tax revenue they’re looking at here,” Nejmeldeen says in a telephone interview from his office in Vancouver.
According to the energy and mines ministry, Nejmeldeen says, small scale miners generated an estimated US$3 billion in annual revenue and produced about 20% of Peru’s gold output last year.
But Nejmeldeen is realistic about the pace of change in Peru, particularly given that President Kuczynski’s party, the PPK, holds only 18 of the 130 seats in Congress. By contrast, the party of his strongest opponent, Keiko Fujimori, the daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori, has 73 seats.
Currently Dynacor buys ore from about 300 registered miners and in the three months ended June 30 recorded its 21st consecutive profitable quarter. Production in the second quarter reached 17,525 oz. gold, up from 16,594 oz. gold in the second quarter of 2015, earning the company US$1.1 million, or 3¢ per share, compared to the year-earlier quarter’s US$0.8 million, or 2¢ per share.
The company acquired its first ore processing plant, Metalex-Huanca, 450 km south of Lima, in 1998, and inaugurated its second, Veta Dorada, on Oct. 3.
The US$15 million carbon-in-pulp plant, about 5 km off Peru’s main Pan American Highway, is fully permitted for 300 tonnes per day and has been specifically designed for processing ore from multiple ore suppliers. It has also been designed to be readily expandable to 450 tonnes per day and then to 600 tonnes per day by adding additional lines and ball mills.
Nejmeldeen says Veta Dorada is currently running at about 250 tonnes per day but should reach 300 tonnes per day by the end of this year, and 360 tonnes per day by April 2017.
The mill’s location in an underpopulated area is also ideal, he says. “It is a great spot because it’s in the middle of the desert — we have plenty of room. There is 15 years of tailings space available on one side of the mill, and we purchased another piece of land on the other side of the road and can increase the tailings another ten years when the time comes.”
Dynacor expects that the new plant will increase the company’s gold production by at least 40%.
In addition to ore processing, Dynacor is also advancing its Tumipampa gold-copper project, 500 km southeast of Lima. The company says it’s close to putting out a resource estimate that will largely encompass the high-grade gold found within the project’s Manto Dorado, Manto Nazareno, and Lisa epithermal vein and mantos systems.
So far, the mineralization has been traced from surface up to 500 metres down-dip, and Dynacor believees that the mineralization could extend for another 2.3 km towards a porphyry system that was discovered during surface exploration late last year.
Tumipampa sits at 4,500 metres above sea level on a barren plateau that straddles the Andahuaylas-Yauri porphyry and skarn belt to the east and a regionally trending corridor of epithermal gold and silver mineralization to the west — both known to host large base and precious metal deposits.
Alonso Sanchez, the company’s chief geologist, is eager to start drilling the disseminated zone, Nejmeldeen says. The Peruvian geologist believes that much like Barrick Gold’s (TSX: ABX; NYSE: ABX) Lagunas Norte mine, Tumipampa’s disseminated zone hosts breccias, stockworks and veinlets of its own. The disseminated zone in Tumipampa is located in similar types of host rocks such as sandstone and cuarcite from the cretaceous period. (Lagunas Norte, on the western flank of the Peruvian Andes, about 140 km east of the coastal city of Trujillo, produced 560,000 oz. gold last year at all-in-sustaining costs of US$509 per oz.)
In addition, Dynacor has discovered that there is coal in the sandstone at Tumipampa, which is also similar to Lagunas Norte, Nejmeldeen says. “Finding coal in the sandstone at Tumipampa’s disseminated is noteworthy as coal helps to capture and hold the gold,” he explains in a later email. “All this, plus important values of gold found on the surface, together with geophysical chargeability anomalies, lead Mr. Sanchez and others in the area to believe there is another economic disseminated breccia in the making.”
Currently Dynacor’s closest neighbours at Tumipampa include MMG, with its Las Bambas copper project to the east; Southern Copper (NYSE: SCCO), with its Los Chancas copper project to the east; Panoro Minerals (TSXV: PML), with its Antilla copper-molybdenum project to the south; and Bear Creek Mining’s (TSXV: BCM) La Yegua copper-molybdenum-gold project to the northeast.
North and northeast are Minas Buenaventura’s (NYSE: BVN) Orcopampa gold-silver mine; Hochschild Mining’s (US-OTC: HCHDF) Arcata gold-silver and Pallancata silver projects; Hudbay Minerals’ (TSX: HBM; NYSE: HBM) Constancia gold-copper mine; and First Quantum Minerals’ (TSX: FM) Haquira copper-gold project.
Nejmeldeen believes more and more companies are scouting the area and staking claims. Over the last year, for instance, Southern Copper increased the size of its Los Chances claim by staking land eastward to within 2 km of Tumipampa’s border, Dynacor says. “This whole area is heating up,” Nejmeldeen says. “Just recently there has been a barrage of claim activity by seniors located immediately adjacent to Tumipampa. At the front of the list is Barrick, with claims surrounding Dynacor. Other noteworthy companies in the area are Anglo American, Buenaventura, Southern Peru, IamGold, Super Strong Mining (China) and Fresnillo Peru.”
Last week Dynacor Gold Mines Inc. TSX:DNG | OTC:DNGDF received its final operating permit to open the brand new Veta Dorada 300 tpd (tonnes per day) (102,000 tonnes per year) ore processing plant located in Chala, Peru. The opening of this mill significantly improves the small-scale mining service industry. Not only will the Company, its shareholders, its employees, and the government of Peru greatly benefit from this new state of the art facility, but most importantly so will the small scale miners themselves. It’s a classic win win scenario for everybody involved in the Dynacor ore processing business.
Since the announcement, the Company is receiving an influx of queries from the market on how much more profit this new mill will generate in the coming months. So let’s dive in to this exercise by breaking down the numbers and using the Company’s historical performance as a conservative guide. The advantage with Dynacor is the Company boasts 21 consecutive quarters of profit to back it all up. The Company provides a one-of-a-kind transparency tool for shareholders with its quarterly five-year performance review. The report posted on the Company’s corporate website breaks down over fifteen different valuation metrics. (see five-year performance review).
Armed with the five-year performance review as our guide we can forecast the following.
If we start at 300 tpd and use the old mill’s average gold grades (1 oz/t), recoveries (93%) and 340 days of operating as a comparable we can assume the following: Dynacor should produce in the neighborhood of 95,000 ounces per year, this is an increase of at least 40% from previous years. (see press release dated September 2, 2016).
Now here is where it becomes very interesting and indeed quite simple to forecast future profits. Over the last three years, the old mill’s gross profit margin averaged 17% together with a three-year gold price average of US $1229/oz. Given today’s gold price is above US $1300/oz and the Company is on record for stating it expects a surge in profit margins due to plant modernization and economies of scale, we can assume if we use the old mill’s numbers to forecast the new mill’s profits, this model is quite conservative.
Therefore if Dynacor produces 95,000 ounces at even the lower three year gold price average of US $1229/oz it will realize US $117 million in sales. Applying the old mill’s average gross profit margin of 17%, we find that the new mill should generate approximately US $20 million in gross profit. Given the Company’s current share count of 38.4 million we arrive at US $0.53 gross profit per share. Converting this to Canadian dollar at $1.30, it moves to CAN $0.69 per share.
The new Veta Dorada plant was designed and built to facilitate future capacity increases in a stepwise fashion to 360 tpd, 450 tpd and 600 tpd. In the next blog post, we will go a few steps further by breaking these numbers down using 360, 450 and 600 tpd assumptions.
Dynacor is a Canadian based profitable gold company active since 1996 with its mining properties located in Peru.
SuperbCrew is a news website covering innovative technology and internet companies – sharing news, experience and knowledge from the tech world. The SuperbCrew community connects innovative companies and journalists.
Below is our interview with Dale Nejmeldeen – Director, Investor Relations of Dynacor:
Dynacor: This year we will invest much less on Tumipampa due to our priority of opening the new Veta Dorada mill in Chala. At this time, we are working on the surface collecting geochemical data in preparation for a new drill campaign on both the porphyry and disseminated breccia zones. Our 2016 exploration budget will be less than $1 million.
Tumipampa is a massive property with a number of gold mineralized zones. It consists of the disseminated breccia, porphyry associated with skarn and veins. This is a full geological plate of mineralization. In order to establish drill targets, we must carry out more surface work.
Our immediate goal is to mine and process our own ore from Tumipampa. We expect it could take us into 2018 before receiving the extraction permit. Currently we are investigating an alternative plan in order for us to start production much sooner. This could provide enough capital to fund Tumipampa’s ongoing development. If the alternative plan under review turns out to be feasible, we will issue a news release.
Stakeholder: Do you need a NI 43-101 resource calculation before proceeding with the alternative plan?
Stakeholder: What is the status of the NI 43-101 resource calculation?
Dynacor: It is progressing on schedule as the independent research team is on site at this time. It will take the team 45-60 days after they return to prepare and write the report. The report is more than just a resource calculation; it is to include a full technical review covering the three different mineralized zones. The report consists of technical descriptions, images, maps and project recommendations. As well this will be Dynacor’s first ever NI 43-101 resource calculation. We are quite eager to receive the report, as it will render the Tumipampa project as an industry-approved source of recognition. We expect the report will attract more independent geo analysis and reviews. The full on technical report will also assist in the upcoming drill program which if proven successful will add more value. It is likely after summer and into September or October that the NI 43-101 resource calculation and technical report will be released.
Stakeholder: What are the thoughts in taking on a partner for Tumipampa?
Dynacor: We don’t need to invest a large amount of money on drilling to create more value at Tumipampa. The next drill program will involve many shallow holes. Taking on a partner at Tumipampa is still too premature. We believe there is more value to discover on the property before looking at partners. It will be better for us to spend $2-3 million dollars of drilling first, as that’s all it should take. There is more impact in having our drills hit something significant that could drive the stock price to much higher levels.
Stakeholder: It sounds like the 2nd half of this year will be one of hitting some long awaited milestones?
Dynacor: We agree that with the opening of the new mill, which will generate stronger financials together with our first 43-101-resource calculation, Dynacor will be in a positive position to start the second half of 2016.
Dynacor: We expect the inspector from MEM to visit the Veta Dorada site in the beginning of June. In order to be absolutely certain of passing each step during the permit process, we have put in place extra precautionary moves by hiring two engineers. They have been assigned to pre-assess the site and review every facet of the plant before the official visit. It is unlikely there is anything that will prevent us from receiving the compliance license in June (Note: Dynacor Receives Compliance License, see news release dated June 13, 2016). Upon receipt of the license, Dynacor will immediately apply for its water usage permit from the Ministry of Agricultural and Irrigation (MINAGRI). The MINAGRI is well aware of our new Veta Dorada plant as we have been building a relationship over the last month. As per the new fifteen-business day permit rule, we expect to receive the water usage permit in two to four weeks. This should take us to the end of June or early July. Lastly, we need to receive the final operation permit from the MEM and the same rules apply taking about another two to three weeks. We are planning to hold the official ribbon cutting ceremony in September.
Stakeholder: Have the warrants been exercised by the lender?
Dynacor: No they have not.
Stakeholder: Will these shares become available on the market?
Stakeholder: What is the status of a dividend?
Dynacor: We are on record as saying we will pay our first dividend when we are producing at a rate of 600 tpd. However, at this time, we are reviewing a plan in order to enable us to offer the dividend much sooner. The Company expects to generate much more sustainable cash flow from the new mill. In years past, Dynacor was making upwards of US $2.5 million dollars a quarter, but that was based purely on a higher gold price. The new mill will bring superior operational efficiencies and production increases thereby creating a much more sustainable environment for the dividend.
Stakeholder: Please comment on the low amount of shares insiders own?
Dynacor: It is important to understand unlike many other companies, Dynacor Gold Mines Inc. is a spin off of another company. The original board members in the parent company lost many shares due to the previous company’s bankruptcy.
What is most important to us is to have members on the board that can assist the Company. There are many cases in the market where there are board members that hold a lot of shares, but bring very little value to the company. In the industry, it is frowned upon and not good practice to make it a requirement for new members to buy a substantial amount of shares before joining.
Last year we hired an independent firm to review our situation and to advise on what is acceptable in terms of salary and shares etc. They informed us that when comparing to peers, Dynacor is in the top percent of what others are doing.
Stakeholder: What is the the plan for Tumipampa?
Stay tuned for part 5 of 5…
Dynacor: We have been through these pricing situations many times before. We would expect this not to last long given our clear-cut advantages. If the price war occurs, it could possibly stretch out to a couple months.
Our expectations are that by the second quarter of operation at Veta Dorada any pricing and operational transfer matters will be behind us. Therefore production together with margins should noticeably increase in the second quarter of Chala’s operation.
Stakeholder: Is there a long learning curve in operating the new Veta Dorada mill?
Dynacor: No. The new mill is the exact same process as the old mill. In fact while waiting for our final permit, we are taking advantage of the time by working out any start up issues. We have already started the pre commissioning phase and will shortly release a series of videos displaying the process testing. We have had a team of operators over the last month checking everything over. Firstly, the mill runs without any rock. Secondly, this week we will check the operating process with rock and water. Upon receipt of the final operating permit, which we expect this summer, the new mill will have been thoroughly tested many times and fully operational. This will enable us to have a very smooth start up.
Stakeholder: Can we expect to see profit margins increase immediately?
Dynacor: Not quite immediate as the plan is to start initially running ore through at a rate of 200 and 225 tpd while closely monitoring everything before moving beyond to full capacity. Due to this start up process, we should not expect to see the new and higher profit margins until the end of the first quarter of Veta Dorada’s operation.
Stakeholder: What about silver sales and especially the drop in the last quarter?
Dynacor: Due to the addition of our new buyer from Europe, there was a delay in the silver transactions during the first quarter. Much of what was produced during the quarter was sold in April and therefore will be part of the second quarter sales. The lower silver sales in the first quarter also lowered our profit by a bit. Still, the silver we receive is a by-product meaning we do not have any control over the amount of silver production. It is an extra bonus that comes with each delivery. We purchase the ore for its gold content. However, when our production and net profits increase, silver will start to play a larger role in our bottom line.
Stakeholder: What are the next steps?
Stay tuned for part 4 of 5…